Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.065308 0.075946 0.087597 0.101281 0.116887 0.134106 0.154518
2025-02-02 0.050446 0.064773 0.081886 0.103733 0.130774 0.163030 0.204294
2025-02-09 0.037543 0.052752 0.072395 0.099402 0.135310 0.181119 0.243643
2025-02-16 0.029545 0.045030 0.066478 0.097959 0.142507 0.202719 0.289554
2025-02-23 0.023306 0.038306 0.060464 0.094983 0.146645 0.220154 0.331433
2025-03-02 0.018840 0.033212 0.055739 0.092787 0.151107 0.237980 0.375253
2025-03-09 0.016045 0.030146 0.053465 0.093724 0.159997 0.262772 0.431363
2025-03-16 0.013158 0.026329 0.049285 0.090830 0.162234 0.277307 0.472889
2025-03-23 0.011942 0.025234 0.049472 0.095138 0.176538 0.312027 0.549229
2025-03-30 0.010424 0.023267 0.047766 0.095804 0.184561 0.337032 0.611762
2025-04-06 0.008825 0.020820 0.044764 0.093618 0.187145 0.352880 0.660039
2025-04-13 0.007542 0.018774 0.042195 0.091833 0.190117 0.369453 0.710712
2025-04-20 0.007038 0.018375 0.042944 0.096780 0.206550 0.411988 0.811919
2025-04-27 0.006529 0.017869 0.043398 0.101191 0.222446 0.455014 0.917809
2025-05-04 0.005510 0.015928 0.040426 0.097992 0.222751 0.468764 0.970539
2025-05-11 0.004801 0.014612 0.038643 0.097098 0.227629 0.491648 1.042414
2025-05-18 0.004092 0.013132 0.036224 0.094413 0.228345 0.506274 1.099313
2025-05-25 0.003523 0.011907 0.034213 0.092363 0.230152 0.523147 1.161889
2025-06-01 0.003177 0.011249 0.033522 0.093366 0.238851 0.554922 1.257036
2025-06-08 0.002713 0.010121 0.031401 0.090518 0.238337 0.567094 1.312474
2025-06-15 0.002580 0.010019 0.032053 0.094831 0.255163 0.618071 1.453539
2025-06-22 0.002331 0.009468 0.031356 0.095505 0.263259 0.650453 1.557043
2025-06-29 0.002022 0.008633 0.029690 0.093330 0.264064 0.666517 1.626115